Consider a growth strategy that falls between the current the ten year trend and the higher employment led scenario.

In view of the economic aspirations of the plan and Carmarthen's role as a Regional Growth area as identified by the National Plan, further consideration should be given to Baseline employment-led scenario. Trend based scenarios result in repeating what has happened in the past rather than planning for the future and looking to be more aspirational.

The chosen level of growth would also only be 87 units per annum above the annual average of 501 dwellings per annum achieved during the current plan period, since 2007, or 61 units per annum over the past five years average. It is considered that this small annual increase is not considered aspirational and will not fully support other growth policies within the plan and National Policy requirements. The base line employment led scenario is considered particularly relevant due to the projects being promoted by the City Deal.

Within the summary of the Baseline employment-led scenario it sates that it 'would provide a positive outlook for housing growth and job creation' but then considers an increase in the annual homes requirement of 23.3% to be 'slightly in excess of the Plan's housing growth potential', again an example of the plan lacking aspiration.